THE real worry for Newcastle Jets fans is not that this campaign already appears a write-off, with two-thirds of the preliminary rounds still to be played.
Even more concerning is what lies in store next season.
Saturday’s 3-1 loss to Wellington Phoenix left the Jets winless after nine games and second last on the points table, with the worst goal differential (minus-11) in the A-League.
If the result was disappointing, the circumstances were shattering.
For the fifth time this season, the Jets drew first blood.
And for the fifth time they were unable to hold the lead, and a three-goal Wellington blitz in the space of five minutes pushed already-disgruntled supporters a step closer to the point of no return.
With Newcastle’s next three games against competition leaders Perth (away), third-placed Adelaide (home) and second-placed Melbourne Victory (away), this could soon turn even uglier for rookie coach Phil Stubbins and his struggling troops.
Barring a remarkable form reversal, the Jets could be dead and buried in the race for the playoffs by Christmas, at which point tough decisions would need to be made.
If this group of players is incapable of delivering improved results, then presumably the only option for the powers-that-be will be to return to the drawing board. But how can we have any confidence in the people responsible for hiring and firing, given what has transpired this season?
Let’s wind back the clock 12 months and reflect on where the Jets were at the corresponding point last year.
After round nine, they were third on the ladder, had strung together four wins in five games and had 15 points to their name.
Yet six games later, coach Gary van Egmond had been sacked.
His interim replacement, Clayton Zane, won five and drew two of 12 games at the helm, enough to be retained as assistant to Stubbins but not as head tactician.
Having finished seventh, hence missing the finals for the fourth successive season, Newcastle then parted company, for a variety of reasons, with experienced players such as Emile Heskey, Adam Taggart, Ruben Zadkovich, Josh Brillante, Craig Goodwin, Michael Bridges, Josh Mitchell, James Brown and Nick Ward.
In came Edson Montano, Billy Celeski, Marcos Flores, Jeronimo Neumann, Adrian Madaschi and Jonny Steele, some of whom were returning from major surgeries.
On the evidence thus far, it is hard to reach the conclusion that the wholesale turnover in personnel has left Newcastle with a stronger roster.
After four years as also-rans – during which the Jets finished seventh three times and eighth once – this season’s results would suggest they have regressed.
And now the same people responsible for assembling this squad might have to again clear the decks and start afresh.
It has become a vicious circle. How can any club develop a successful, winning culture when an end-of-season cleanout becomes an annual event?
Why would any top-shelf players want to come here?
Some fans are already demanding Stubbins should make way.
But given that he is Newcastle’s third coach inside 11 months, if the Englishman was to be sacked, then those who appointed him should surely sack themselves as well.
All of which is being played out under the ownership of a man who declared months ago he ‘‘can’t wait’’ to sell the Jets.
Until such time as controversial tycoon Nathan Tinkler has moved on, it is hard to envisage any positive change on the horizon.
While the club remains in his hands, it seems not a dollar more will be spent than is necessary, and the front-office acumen will come from the same officials who have been in charge since October, 2010.
Meanwhile, Newcastle’s A-League franchise is not just stuck in neutral. It is rolling backwards.
At what point the Jets reach rock bottom is anyone’s guess.