Mahuta at $4 for this Saturday, yes please.
Mahuta at $4 for this Saturday, yes please.
yeah so have you drips being laying favourites in the pool like i told you or what?
Last edited by q-money; 11-08-2016 at 01:27 PM.
canada to medal at 9.50 in the 4x200 women's relay thanks for coming pew pew pew
how's the big duds, the campbell sisters not even placing
$5 for the yank to win a medal, ching ching ching
#qform for saturday 13th august
te rapa r4 #2 - jochen rindt
rosehill r1 #1 - extensible
rosehill r4 #6 - game pie
rosehill r5 #4 - tango rain
kembla grange r5 #4 - faustus
caulfield r2 #1 - rustic melody
caulfield r9 #1 - freshwater storm e/w
jochen rindt & extensible home, we're betting with the bookie's money now
ended up exactly where i started
got back into the day with miss rose de lago in the P.B lawrence off the back of the speed shown by The Cleaner and Lord of the Sky, mapped perfectly
The Cleaner is such a factor in the races he shows up in, absolutely punishes on speed
reading old mate protectionist won't be coming out, will be going at the arc instead.
another interesting thing i read on another foz re: kris lees and international horses, his strike rate is pretty much better than anyone else out there, and that the majority of waller's last ones he's brought out are all pretty much unmitigated disasters and that he'll be focusing on NZ yearlings. after looking back at the duds he's brought through i'd probably be inclined to agree. the bloke has some rippers but jeez he is holding some obscene underperformers
Bit of a write up on jockeys you may be interested in Luke Murrell from Australian Bloodstocks, the team that got protectionist over as well as other O/S horses, knows what he is talking about and tells it straight.
"I've also caught up on my jockey rankings and these are current as at Saturday just gone and from the 1st January. For those unfamiliar I record every jockey in Australia in certain areas but naturally concentrate in NSW. You will find that most jockeys are more hindrance to a horse than a help and as a result we are looking for the jockeys who make the least amount of mistakes. With the racing media being what it is it’s a very small world and often a jockey is given praise when not deserved ( or simple doing his job) or because he is “famous” and it’s the cool or done thing. Don’t forget not all jockeys get the same opportunities because perhaps they might not play the game with owners and trainers , perhaps because they can’t strong two words together or perhaps they are just rude or unlikable . I find the best gauge is to rate jockeys on their errors largely – whilst also keeping track of the category “ the ride won the race group – which for the average joe doesn’t occur as much as you might think”. Marks are also given for good rides that don’t get the winners.
What this does is highlight who is riding well and who is not but are living off the back of stable support or repuatations
Some Interesting findings perhaps for those who perhaps are influenced by the media
NSW ONLY
Name
Overall Score
Brenton Avdulla
89
Hugh Bowman
86
James Mcdonald
79
Blake Shinn
78
Tom Berry
70
Glyn Schofield
72
Tim Clark
71
Sam Clipperton
68
Koby Jennings
71
K Mcyoy
83
Thomas Huet
72
Name Errors Per Ride “ Ride won the race “ Consistency SP profile finish
Brenton Avdulla 1 every 9.8 rides 1 every 17 27/30 71%
No surprise has been riding well for 18 months plus – becoming for popular with bigger stables and getting more chance- deadly at provincials and best reader of track conditions in Sydney- Riding also more confident now and prepared to try things which has seen him win a number of races he had no right to win- due to his lesser profile he does better his mounts SP profile finish more often than anyone has for the last 10 years I have run them- however expect that to change in coming months as he gets on better stock- no bias sprinters or stayers
Hugh Bowman 1 every 7.9 rides 1 every 19 25/30 51%
Considered by many as the number 1 and rightly so – but no doubt well down on his best form which saw him peak with errors per ride of 1 in every 12 last year. The trips away perhaps help him come back invigorated – but Autumn was horrible for him despite his big wins with lots of genuine “slaughters / gave that no hope “ rides. Getting better from the gates but tactically can be exposed. Still world class just not as good as he was. However no reason he wont bounce back. Still heavily over bet- no bias with sprinters or stayers
James Mcdonald 1 in 6.8 rides 1 ride in 24 24/30 42%
Whilst with Godolphin basically drives the most amount of “Ferraris” than anyone else- has good media presence but still makes heaps more mistakes than he should. Still doesn’t ride as confident as he used to in NZ when untouchable over their and almost faultless. The trip to UK should boast his confidence – although publically that didn’t seem to be a issue. His horses always over bet although stable underperforming largely
Blake Shinn 1 in every 7.2 rides 1 ride in 24 25/30 54%
Going ok and holding his own- doesn’t make as many slaughters as he used to but struggling with his really big “outthink them tactically ride” his holding his form and is still a genuine top 5 jockey in Sydney which is the best and most competitive environment in the world for tactics. Is very good track bias reader
Tom Berry 1 in every 5.6 1 ride in 19 22/30 44%
Everyone loves tommy but has really issues with his speed and judging it and often wrecks all chances on horses by leading and riding too pretty – lots of anchor drops and tactical mistakes. However he has the ability to pull out a screamer of a ride more often than some . His overrated as a jockey but that’s largely down to his business skill and personality which has taken him a long way. Can ride but not as consistent as he should be- a good jockey when sitting off them and when following a pack- very poor when in front.Is good track bias reader most times
Glyn Schofield 1 in every 7.2 1 ride in 22 24/30 61%
Big improver this last period thanks to a great partnership with James Cummings horses. Seems to have found his hunger and whilst still poor in tactics is riding very well and now getting under bet and offers upside- especially with Cummings horses- can be a victim of playing follow the leader and not making a decision- but big improver overall this period- Poor track bias reader
Tim Clark 1 in every 5.2 1 ride in 31 20/30 54%
Definitely not the same rider we sent to HK- doing his best but seems to have no confidence or tactically nous . Has the ability somewhere but not at present
Sam Clipperton 1 in every 5.3 1 ride in 33 20/30 51%
Sam is bred and butter- goes ok but overall cant really help your mount- often seems put off by the big boys !!
Kieran Mcvoy 1 in every 7.2 1 ride in 24 25/30 64%
Probbaly one of the best and most improved. Still has a weak link for sprint races and tactics but possible the best middle distance plus rider we have at present. Always gives his middle distance horses most chances and if not for a few mistakes and lack of imitative in sprints would be right up there with Bowman challenging. Well worth following"
thanks mate, good read
have to agree with avdulla on top, has come through with some truly world class rides the last few months (dubaiinstyle and allergic the most recent). can read and pick his runs, i.e. the one on rustic melody at 26-1, inspired stuff there, am begging for him to get back on her.
of the apprentices, deanne panya and blaike mcdougall are riding out of their skins at the moment. there's no better jock (apprentice or otherwise) on front runners than panya at the moment. mcdougall is working super hard, gives his rides every chance as well, one to watch.
No golden rose for Capitalist, going to the coolmore instead.
two all ins in the dunny now
the gun Avdulla just landing an unraced gelding for Waller on Fortensky at newcastle at $10 on the tote
*bang bang*
the gun backs up again at 6.50 on captured in the next, jeez what a bloke
he's done it again at $6 on allision at canterbury, what an absolute stud
Panya!! 2 @ 10's